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Cowra Cup tips, races; Matt Jones best bets; Armidale races, tips

Cowra Cup tips, races; Matt Jones best bets; Armidale races, tips

He is probably not champion however Zarhron can do match the good Manikato and win the identical race 5 occasions when strains up within the Cowra Japan Cup (1200m) on Sunday.

The Andrew Molloy-trained nine-year-old would be the horse on everybody’s lips at Cowra and jockey Chris Williams will experience him once more after the pair mixed for the 2017 and 2018 cups. Molloy stated Zarhron is able to hearth once more.

“I can’t see why he can’t win it again. There will be no excuses,” he stated.

MATT JONES’S BEST BETS

COWRA

BEST BET

MACKELLAR’S LOVE (Race 7, No.Three)

This horse ought to get the gun run in the primary race of the day which can permit her to complete off strongly. She’s in positive type.

NEXT BEST

ALCATRAN (Race 2, No.2)

This horse put in a pleasant first preparation as an early three-year-old and he ought to return a a lot stronger particular person. His newest trial prompt that.

VALUE BET

BRIGHT FUTURE (Race 6, No.10)

He brings good provincial type to the bush and he’s received no weight so there’s lots to love about him from barrier one.

QUADDIE

Race 5: 1,7

Race 6: 1,Three,four,10

Race 7: 2,Three,5,7

Race eight: 6,11,14

TRAINER TO WATCH

CAMERON CROCKETT has a great little workforce heading right down to Cowra, with The Warlord and Kingsbridge wanting robust to beat within the fifth and first-starter Christo within the opening race.

JOCKEY TO WATCH

Native MATHEW CAHILL is an apparent selection and he’s acquired a number of possibilities, together with Yokai, The Warlord and Mackellar’s Love.

SCROLL DOWN FOR MATT’S EXTENDED PREVIEW & TIPS

SHAYNE O’CAS’S BEST BETS

ARMIDALE

BEST BET

IN YA SKYROCKET (Race Three, No.1)

Allan Kehoe-trained gelding crushed within the final stride in 1300m maiden at Nowra final begin the place subsequent winner Horn was behind him. Again to 1100m, gate one — tick and tick.

NEXT BEST

HUEY (Race four, No.5)

Stablemate to In Ya Skyrocket and Kehoe has him coming again in distance additionally which is to his benefit. Very more likely to roll ahead and he’ll be more durable to move this time.

SILENT JACK (Race 6, No.5)

Allan Denham-trained gelding who lived as much as his stout pedigree when an in depth runner-up over 2200m at Scone final begin. That is simpler. Will go shut.

TRAINER TO FOLLOW

Native STIRLING OSLAND is in a robust place to win three races and perhaps even quinella one in every of them — that being the primary on his hometown card.

QUADDIE

Race four: 1,5

Race 5: 1,2

Race 6: 5

Race 7: 1,Three

*****

“This time in we were trying to get him into the Kosciusko and we were an emergency and didn’t get a run. After that we decided to target this race again.

“He was a bit disappointing last start at Moruya but he’s right back where I want him now.

“Racing NSW have told me only one other horse has won a handicap four years in a row so it’s a feather in the horse’s cap.”

Apparently, Zarhron has solely raced at his house monitor within the Cowra Japan Cup, so his document is ideal. Molloy stated his success on the monitor got here right down to quite a lot of issues.

“The track suits him,” he stated. “He likes turning tracks. He just knows his markers and it’s second nature to him when he goes out there. He quickens a little bit at the 600m and quickens again at the 400m and is flat out to the line.

“He’s been doing that at this track for the past seven years so there’s a bit of muscle memory there.”

Zarhron has to hold 61kg however he’s carrying greater than 60kg to win his previous three cups, together with a effective effort beneath 63kg final yr.

“This is a proper open company race this year and there’s good speed across the map and I’d rather have him than anything else,” Molloy stated.

Welcome Artwork might give Molloy a profitable double within the two function races on the cardboard when he races within the Cowra Cup (1700m). He’s been in high quality type this time in, having run an in depth second behind Meraki Miss and Sea Woman who’re useful horses.

It’s given Molloy loads of confidence.

“I reckon he’s as good a chance as anything,” he stated.

“We’ve set him for this race and his whole preparation has been centred around peaking for this day. His two lead-up runs were better than expected and I can’t fault him.

“I respect Sea Lady and I was scared of it the other day, and history shows he’s never won second-up with two weeks between runs so to win that was a bonus.”

Molloy is anticipating a peak efficiency third-up.

“This is as good as I can get him,” he stated. “He’s a pretty sharp track worker and I find those types generally run well on their home track.”

Molloy additionally races Valarian in a Maiden Handicap (1200m) and he’s been constant with out profitable up to now. “On ability he’s got to be a top four chance but he’s immature and might need a break,” Molloy stated.

INSIDE MAIL WITH MATT JONES

COWRA

RACE 1 (1.10pm)

First starter Christo gained two trails comfortably earlier than operating fourth in an open firm warmth, however was sluggish away in each. Scarpa wasn’t far behind Regal Cannon final begin and he’s closing on a win as is See For Your self who has run second at her previous two. Cloudless Sky is the opposite hope.

BET STRATEGY: CHRISTO to win.

RACE 2 (1.45pm)

Alcatran put in a strong first preparation and will come again a greater horse right here first-up. He trialled like a horse who has extra to offer this time in. First starter Yokai trialled on the town and regardless of operating seventh of eight, appeared ok to return to the bush and be greater than aggressive towards extra skilled horses. Saint Antonio Lad is certainly one of them and the previous Staff Snowden runner will take pleasure in not operating on the town. Moon Over Menah is the opposite fundamental hope.

BET STRATEGY: ALCATRAN to win.

RACE Three (2.20pm)

Miss Lon is knocking on the door and if she continues racing in addition to she has she ought to be coming excessive of them late and profitable. Fusca likes to be on the velocity and is wanting like an enormous contender right here on type as is None So Shiny who could be very match now after two strong performances. Valarian is one other horse out there and can run nicely however his best will come subsequent preparation and win right here can be a bonus.

BET STRATEGY: MISS LON to win.

RACE four (2.55pm)

Gillie Mooch is flying this time in and if she’s going to step up in grade and win Sunday is the day. Newtown Is Coming is in an analogous boat after a trendy win down in barely lesser grade final begin however that efficiency was ok to win once more right here. Superb Hero drops barely in grade now after operating third final begin over 1100m when coming from behind so the drops again in journey is the question. Stone Chilly lastly will get out of metropolis racing so is a hope once more.

BET STRATEGY: NEWTOWN IS COMING to win.

RACE 5 (Three.30pm)

Cameron Crockett appears to have an excellent hand on this race with Kingsbridge and The Warlord. The previous is a pleasant recent horse and the latter racing in good type even when not profitable. And if stablemate Meraki Miss runs, she’s an enormous probability too. Get To The Chopper and Good Host are good horses however don’t overlook the Nation Championships is their aim. King Ryker might produce one thing good recent.

BET STRATEGY: THE WARLORD to win.

RACE 6 (four.10pm)

Zarhron shoots for a fifth-straight win on this race and don’t let his huge weight (61kg) put you off. He’s carried greater than 60kg at his previous three wins on this occasion and he’ll go shut once more. Sugar Dance seems to be the primary hazard and he’s gained two of his previous three whereas main and 1200m seems to be good for him if he can get throughout from a large gate. Shiny Future is the light-weight hope after operating very properly at provincial degree of late.

BET STRATEGY: Exacta 10, 1.

RACE 7 (four.55pm)

Mackellar’s Love has been on hearth this preparation and she or he will get into this race with a very good weight and will settle within the field seat and be very onerous to beat, the 1700m must be ultimate. Welcome Artwork will probably begin over the chances after beating Sea Woman final begin to win and he’s been set for this race third-up. Class Clown is a little bit of an enigma and at his best is a profitable probability. There are many different hopes like Base Camp, Balansa and Cowboys Karma.

BET STRATEGY: Quinella Three, 7.

RACE eight (5.35pm)

Ticked Off hasn’t gained shortly but in addition hasn’t run a nasty race in that point and she or he drops 2kg in weight for this which solely helps as does barrier one. See how Miss Lon goes earlier as a result of Miranda Kay is coming off a last-start win over her and final preparation ran behind And So It Goes who gained on the town earlier within the week. Eyesaw will run a greater race as a result of he’s by no means at his best third-up.

BET STRATEGY: TICKED OFF to win.

ARMIDALE

Shayne O’Cass

RACING varieties reckon weight will cease a practice however not New Endeavour who can shoulder the burden of 60-plus kilograms to ship locals residence glad within the final race.

The son of On line casino Prince is way and away the best-performed horse within the Royal Lodge Armidale Handicap (1100m) with a benchmark score of 63.

Not solely does that make the Stirling Osland-trained galloper the very best rated horse in motion all day, the closest rival to him in his race is seven factors under on 56.

So, it was no shock to see New Endeavour handed 63.5kg for his return, of which 3kg disappears because of the declare of Scone-based apprentice Reece Jones.

It’s value noting New Endeavour is adept at carrying such weights. Three of his previous 4 wins have include 61.5kg on his again, 1kg greater than he carries on Sunday.

“He has gained seven races general and in 4 of these he has carried 60.5kg or extra,’’ Osland stated. “So, we aren’t frightened concerning the weight with him. He gained at Armidale first-up up to now carrying 61.5kg in an identical type of race and he completed up final prep in good type profitable at Muswellbrook.

“He trialled rather well at Tamworth however in all probability simply discovered his legs (drained) a bit bit the final 100m however he’s clearly had a few weeks’ work since and would have pulled a bit out of that trial as properly.

“He’s a ‘class 7’ horse on the finish of the day so he ought to run properly.’’

Ought to he achieve success, it is going to be New Endeavour’s eighth win at begin No.40.

Osland saddles up one of many blue bloods on present at Armidale within the form of Indeniable who races within the acquainted colors of outstanding owner-breeder Matthew Sandblom. Indeniable is a son of Redoute’s Selection and Joe Satisfaction’s three-time Group Three-winning mare Judged.

“He has an excellent first-up report over 1300m and in provincial grade, too,’’ Osland stated.

“The horse has received potential however dropped the bit halfway via his races on the again finish of his final prep however he can undoubtedly run. He has solely had the three placings in his life and two of them have come first-up.’’

The opening race at Armidale is made up of solely half a dozen runners — however two are from the Osland yard, specifically Exilia Miss and Rage Towards, who might properly struggle out the end.

“They’re very totally different horses,’’ Osland stated. “Exilia Miss is popping out of a race on the Gold Coast on a Saturday assembly the place she ran midfield so, coming again out of metropolis grade, she might be higher suited than Rage Towards.’’

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