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Goulburn races, tips; Shayne O’Cass best bets; Quirindi races; horse racing tips

Goulburn races, tips; Shayne O’Cass best bets; Quirindi races; horse racing tips

NEWTOWN Bluebag was purchased to focus on final yr’s Bong Bong Cup however by no means made it, now co-trainers Emma and Lucy Longmire have their eyes on a much bigger prize at Goulburn on Sunday.

The aim for the son of French Derby winner Lope De Vega is the $150,000 Goulburn Cup (1600m) the place he’s up towards rivals from Sydney goliaths, Godolphin and Tulloch Lodge.

The dimensions of the duty Newtown Bluebag faces is mirrored within the reality his benchmark score of 62 is by no means similar to the Waterhouse/Bott topweight Fabrizio, or James Cummings’ Interlocuter.

“Clearly, he’s up towards it however he has a great barrier, he is aware of the monitor and he is excellent over a mile,’’ Emma stated. “He’s fairly a seasoned horse now so we’re completely satisfied to take them on.’’

SHAYNE O’CASS’S BEST BETS

GOULBURN

BEST BET

THE PROMISE (Race 2, No.1)

A 3-quarter sister to Cox Plate winner Shamus Award from John Thompson’s camp. The Snitzel mare skips from a maiden win to a C2 however she beat a useful horse at Hawkesbury over 1500m and can eat up the mile.

NEXT BEST

SHEN GUI (Race three, No.2)

John O’Shea-trained son of All Too Exhausting was an awesome fifth right here on debut. Final begin was fourth at Newcastle in stiffer firm than what he meets right here.

VALUE

MYPRAYER (Race four, No.1)

Shut sufficient to a great factor crushed at Kembla final begin that we’ll accept a draw. Has barely put a foot flawed and that is by far his best race.

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

KAYLA NISBET is in super type and that is just about her residence floor. She is aware of each blade of grass at Goulburn.

QUADDIE

Race 5: 1,four,5,6

Race 6: 7

Race 7: 2,eight,11,14

Race eight: 1,2,three,6

SCROLL DOWN FOR SHAYNE’S EXTENDED PREVIEW & TIPS

MATT JONES’S BEST BETS

QUIRINDI

BEST BET

UNDER THE THUMB (Race 2, No.2)

It might be within the strongest race on the cardboard however he’s popping out of a a lot stronger occasion on the town the place he wasn’t far off the winners so if he holds that type he wins.

NEXT BEST

MAGIC NAME (Race 6, No.1)

He will get a great gate and is racing nicely sufficient to reap the benefits of it in a subject that’s not overly robust so that is his probability.

VALUE BET

ANCHOIS (Race 5, No.2)

He’s going to get a charmed run right here behind the velocity and will be capable of pop off and run them down as a result of he’s improved since his final begin win. It’s a troublesome little race although.

QUADDIE

Race four: eight,10,14

Race 5: 2,four,5

Race 6: 1,four

Race 7: four,7,eight,10

TRAINER TO WATCH

LUKE MORGAN has simply two runners heading to the races however Medal Afrique and Duke County look set to run properly.

JOCKEY TO WATCH

BEN LOOKER has a strong ebook of rides with Gadlfy, Dukes County and Anchois good hopes.

******

Newtown Bluebag comes off a uncommonly poor run when fading final of six behind Miss Shanti, Rapture Miss and co over 1800m on the Kensington monitor on October 31.

“It’s a total forgive that run,’’ Longmire said. “There was no speed, he was too close. It was just how it worked out that day. We don’t like him close (in running) because he is not as strong late.’’

Newtown Bluebag has come from as far back as last at the turn and win such is his barnstorming nature but with barrier six of 12 runners, the option is there to be a shade handier than that.

“From that barrier, you think he would be able to be a fraction closer but with cover is the key,’’ Longmire said.

Whatever the tempo, Newtown Bluebag is sure to get every opportunity under Kayla Nisbet who goes way back with the horse.

“Kayla is absolutely flying,’’ Longmire said. “Look at her last weekend at Gundagai, she won both features; she is just going unbelievably at the moment,’’ Longmire said.

“Kayla won on Newtown Bluebag at his first start for us. The horse was actually purchased for the (2017) Bong Bong Cup, but we were of the opinion the track wouldn’t suit him and the horse was a bit better than that. As it turned out, the Bong Bong races were washed out last year so he couldn’t race. He came out a week later and won at Canberra.’’

Not only that but Newtown Bluebag also won at Royal Randwick in a TAB Highway in January.

Meantime, track specialist With Purpose can make sure racing’s newest training partnership of Edward O’Rourke and Michael Freedman gets rolling when she returns to the venue for the Spendthrift/Guy Walter Handicap (1300m).

The beautifully bred mare has won three of her six races, all victories coming at Goulburn, the first by a nose, the last by a whopping five lengths.

With Purpose is a highly valuable mare by 2YO Triple Crown winner, Pierro, out of Paprika who was beaten a nose by subsequent Golden Slipper winner Phelan Ready.

And while With Purpose won her second career start, it is only now that the four-year-old seems to be living up to her early promise.

“She is getting herself going now and is really starting to hit her straps,’’ O’Rourke said.

“Her last win was very good there. We were going to take her town after her win there last month but it made sense to go back there for the same money and it was the right race.

“I think the race (Sunday) will be run to suit her because there is plenty of pace.

“Goulburn is a big track where she can get into rhythm and work home. It’s a fair track where you can win from anywhere if you’re good enough.’’

Given her now-trademark whirlwind finish, With Purpose will need luck from her inside draw but has the right man on board in Adam Hyeronimus.

“Adam knows her very well and rides her quite a bit at home, he’s three for four on her now, so he’s got a very good rapport with her,’’ O’Rourke said.

The new team’s other runner on the Goulburn Cup day card today is Ahmed who has his first start in the Mulwaree Council Showcase Maiden Plate over 1200m.

THE LATE MAIL — GOULBURN

Shayne O’Cass

RACE 1 (12.55pm)

First Reading was a close second at Nowra at the end of last campaign. The mare has placed at four of her six starts and has been tuned-up with two trials, the last one was a ripper. Bentley Magic is up and going well this time in with a couple of placings alongside his name. Noble House is third-up and ready to peak.

BET STRATEGY: FIRST READING win.

RACE 2 (1.30pm)

The Promise is a very valuable mare being a three-quarter-sister to Cox Plate winner Shamus Award. The John Thompson-trained mare swept home to win first-up at Hawkesbury over 1500m and, while she skips to a Class 2 here, she looks up to the challenge and will relish the mile. Confident Lad is a progressive horse from the Jason Coyle camp. He also skips a grade but importantly he won at this track and distance last start. Laughing Or Crying has a good record and is in the mix.

BET STRATEGY: THE PROMISE win; Exacta 1 to beat 5.

RACE 3 (2.05pm)

Shen Gui is a very well-bred colt by All Too Hard and a grandson of Fair Embrace. The John O’Shea-trained colt ran a good race on debut. Last start he was a solid fourth at Newcastle. Go well this grade. Trump Me has got back and finished powerfully at both runs to start his career. This will be his first time racing at home and he’s crying out for the 1600m. Trust Who is the knockout horse.

BET STRATEGY: SHEN GUI win; Exacta 2 to beat 5; Quinella 2,5.

RACE 4 (2.40pm)

Myprayer hasn’t done much wrong in his 13 starts with a win and five placings. The Louise Dean-trained gelding was close to a good thing beaten at Kembla last start when diving through late to be beaten 1.7 lengths by subsequent winner, So Magic. Form reads too well for the others. Cavellton was 10th of 13 in that same race at Kembla but got a long way back and as only beaten four lengths, which was acceptable. Can do much better here. Prahaar ran a great race at Randwick on Cup day.

BET STRATEGY: MYPRAYER win; Box trifecta 1,2,3.

RACE 5 (3.15pm)

Open race. Could be a blowout from one of the horses we least expect. At the end of the day, one has to respect the consistency of Bocain, who has only won one from 16, but the son of Melbourne Cup winner Americain has placed six times. Gives every indication the 2000m is made to order. Jagger has raced in town at his last two, the first of them was a fourth of eight at Randwick over 2400m, so he’ll run this trip out easily. Hello China won at Gundagai then did nothing here last time. Better than that.

BET STRATEGY: BOCAIN each-way; HELLO CHINA place; Duet 4,5.

RACE 6 (3.50pm)

Punters are sure to flock to With Purpose given that the mare has won all three of her previous visits to Goulburn. In fact, the daughter of Pierro and Magic Millions runner-up Paprika has won her last starts — both here — that last one was by five lengths. Only has to run the 1300m, and everything says she ought to. Arrondissement was very impressive winning here three runs back and had genuine excuses for the two sixths after that. Big watch. Rock On Zariz was 2.8 lengths fifth in the Snake Gully Cup last time.

BET STRATEGY: WITH PURPOSE win; Quinella 7,8; Exacta 7 to beat 8; Box trifecta 1,7,8.

RACE 7 (4.25pm)

Interlocuter is the Godolphin runner in the Goulburn Cup this year and he looks hard to hold out. A classy son of Darley sire Medaglia D’oro, this gelding kept to the task quite well last start when fourth in the Ladies’ Day Cup at Hawkesbury behind Pecans and Burning Passion. That seems the form for this. Fierce Impact is a quality horse who can figure. The value in the race is Newtown Bluebag, who is going to be a big price based in his excusable Randwick failure last start. Will be strong late. Fabrizio lost some of his lustre when he drew 14.

BET STRATEGY: INTERLOCUTER win; NEWTOWN BLUEBAG each-way; Exacta 2 to beat 14; Duet 2,14.

RACE 8 (5.10pm)

Another of the more open races on the Showcase card with a host of chances. Leaning towards the Garry Frazer-trained Playard who ran an eye-catching race at Hawkesbury last start when coming from last to be beaten two lengths. That was 1100m, the 1200m on the big track makes him easy to like. Tiger By The Tale is a Danny Williams-trained local who ran second in the Anniversary Cup to a very in-form horse. Critical Touch and Treasure Boss are in the mix.

BET STRATEGY: PLAYARD win.

QUIRINDI

Matt Jones

CODY Morgan’s stable is firing this season and the young trainer is set to continue his great strike rate in the Hunter.

The Tamworth trainer has saddled-up eight winners from just 24 runners in 2018-19 at a sensational strike rate of 33.3 per cent. He’s also recorded seven placings.

Anchois is his top seed on Sunday and he comes off a first-up win at Muswellbrook over 1000m — and Morgan wants to keep him at the same trip in race five.

“He’s the pick of my three,’’ Morgan said. “He’s come on from that last run. He’s a big, gross horse and he looks good. I expect him to be right there. I don’t really want to go past 1200m with him at the moment.

“Even though he won by a little bit, he didn’t run the fastest last 200m so I don’t want to put him up in trip yet.”

The Choisir four-year-old does go up 1.5kg within the weights after his final win however that shouldn’t be an element over the brief journey. Morgan stated he’d be up on the velocity from barrier one with Ben Looker to journey.

“I’d be more nervous about the 60.5kg had he drawn out because I didn’t want to see him do any work in the run with a big weight,” Morgan stated.

“The soft draw offsets the big weight so it won’t be weight that will beat him. He’s not really an apprentice’s horse. He hasn’t gone backwards since his win and he’ll improve again.

“I think Hey Dude might lead and I’d expect him (Anchois) to be right behind the leaders.”

Morgan is aware of which horse is the primary rival: one other Tamworth runner educated by Melissa Dennett.

“I’ve got a lot of respect for King Percy,” he stated. “Mel and I train right next door to each other and I know he goes really well and my bloke didn’t beat a strong field last start while King Percy ran good time when he won on debut at Gunnedah so I’d imagine one of those two would win.

“My horse will go close. He can win but it won’t be as easy, that’s for sure.”

Manabar is Morgan’s subsequent best hope in a benchmark 58 handicap (1200m) and he’ll be higher over extra floor after operating fifth over 1000m after a freshen-up final begin.

“He’s definitely improved in his work during the past fortnight but this is a strong benchmark 58 race,” Morgan stated. “Ben goes back on him. He’s won at the track and they ran quick time in his last race.”

Street To Bordeaux is Morgan’s different runner on the cardboard, in a maiden plate (1450m), and he’s having his first begin for the secure after being off the tempo on the provincials when educated by Pat Webster for his first 4 runs.

“He just needs a drop in grade and he’ll roll forward in this race,” Morgan stated. “He needs a mile so this is a good kick-off point.”