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Newcastle races, tips; Shayne O’Cass best bets; horse racing tips

Newcastle races, tips; Shayne O’Cass best bets; horse racing tips

WYONG coach Kristen Buchanan sends Bid’n’naked to Newcastle capturing for three-straight wins in a Benchmark 64 Handicap (1200m) and she or he’s maintaining a profitable method intact.

Jeff Kehoe has ridden the Sensible Missile four-year-old mare in any respect three begins and after an unfortunate debut run when third at Port Macquarie, they’ve mixed for 2 wins.

Buchanan stated the mare was her best hope on Sunday as a result of she’s received the runs on the board.

“She was held up at Port Macquarie and was a bit green when she got out but she’s won her past two after that and she’s a filly on the up,” she stated.

SHAYNE O’CASS’S BEST BETS

BEST BET

BELLE OF CLONMEL (Race 5, No.7)

A Jason Coyle-trained mare who gained two trials in spectacular fashion earlier than two average runs at Hawkesbury each occasions. The step to 1200m will assist her with a special tempo and this isn’t a really robust race for her to contest.

NEXT BEST

SCARLET DREAM (Race three, No.eight)

Will get to 1880m fairly shortly solely having her third begin in a race. That stated, she is by Sebring who will get them to run a visit and the best way this filly beat a useful horse final begin suggests she has sufficient expertise to measure up.

LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS

VALUE

SCREEN SHOT (Race 1, No.three)

A Peter Robl-trained gelding who landed a plunge when he ran his rivals off their ft to win at Kembla. He simply beat Grasp Ash that day and that horse gained the G3 Up And Coming not lengthy after. Has trialled nicely forward of the return. Go nicely.

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

ANDREW GIBBONS is a really exhausting man to beat when he rides at Newcastle and so is the case right here the place ‘Gibbo’ has a very robust e-book.

QUADDIE

Race 5: 7,10

Race 6: 2,5,6

Race 7: 2,eight

Race eight: 6,7,eight,9

SCROLL DOWN FOR MATT’S EXTENDED PREVIEW & TIPS

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“She’s still a bit tricky in the gates which is why we’ve got Jeff on her. He gives her a lot of confidence and there’s a lot of upside to her and I’m a happy just letting her go through her grades. She’s very versatile but is a real fire cracker in the barriers. We’re past the worst stages of that though.”

Kehoe will information her out of gate eight within the 11-horse subject and she or he ought to take pleasure in sitting simply behind the leaders as soon as once more earlier than pouncing within the straight.

“When you’ve got a barrier like that you’ve just got to put her where she’s comfortable,” Buchanan stated. “I don’t really want to see her finding the front.

“She looks about a bit and I think she resents the whip so I don’t want her left at the front too soon and being exposed so the timing to get there is important.”

Buchanan is stepping Jazzland up in grade although he didn’t win final begin as a result of she has loads of religion in his staying means.

The four-year-old is racing in a Class 1 & Maiden Plate (1880m) after operating second at begin two over 1500m at Muswellbrook following a 13-week let-up.

“He’s a really nice up-and-coming staying type stepping up to 1880m second-up,” Buchanan stated. “It’s a step up in class but I think the distance will be right up his ally.

“He’s nowhere near being mature but he gives me a great feel on the track and there’s a lot of scope for improvement.”

Jazzland firmed from $20 to $11 final begin and after coming from seventh on the flip he would have happy punters that took him each-way. Buchanan stated he has thrived since that run a fortnight in the past and can once more love the large Newcastle circuit.

“I was happy with him last start and wasn’t surprised to see him race like that,” she stated. “The owners know I have an opinion of him.

“He ran first-up over 1500m and could have went around again.

“I think when our horses go to Muswellbrook they’re very consistent and the stable has been on fire lately and a few people knew that and put some money on him.”

He does tackle various horses which are a bit forward of him when it comes to their profession development however he’ll give them a run for his or her cash. “I think he’s a chance but there’s a couple of nice Class 1 horses there like Mark Newnham’s (Scarelt Dream),” Buchanan stated.

Meantime, Wyong coach Les Tilley is having a throw on the stumps with Basic Artie and can attempt to qualify him for a wealthy race by operating within the first three within the Spring Provincial Collection Warmth four (1500m).

It’s a Class 5 occasion and the winner and the pair that run locations earn a spot within the $150,000 Spring Provincial Collection Remaining (1600m) at Kembla Grange on December 1.

“I’d like to have a shot at that final if we can qualify,” Tilley stated.

The five-year-old comes off a second putting over 1280m at Muswellbrook and ran second to Lead Choreographer on the town within the autumn.

“He raced very well at Muswellbrook and has done well since so we’ve given him a shot at it and if he can run a place it will be good,” Tilley stated. “He showed a return to form last time. The barrier won’t help us but he’s a hope if he runs to his best.

“He’s done what I ask of him at home and he’s a bit more mature now so as long as he handles the step up in journey he should be right.”

Highly effective Newcastle coach Kris Lees strains up Bochy, Chalmers, Excessive Energy and I Am Superior so the duty for Tilley can be robust. “It’s a good field. Kris Lees was always going to see to that. He’s got a lot of firepower,” he stated.

INSIDE MAIL WITH SHAYNE O’CASS

RACE 1 (1.10pm)

Display Shot is a flashy chestnut son of the Kentucky Derby winner Huge Brown who was discovered on the yearling gross sales by Peter Robl for simply $26,000. He has already gained $23,000 and alter, most of it when he led all through to beat Grasp Ash at Kembla. The runner-up got here out and gained the G3 Up And Coming not lengthy after. Trialled properly for this. Belle Of Portugal has a report right here at residence of seven begins for a win and 4 placings. Shall be robust late.

BET STRATEGY: SCREEN SHOT win.

RACE 2 (1.45pm)

It’s by no means straightforward for a horse to win on debut however the Damien Lane-trained Enchanted Princess was spectacular profitable her 800m warmth at Gosford on November 7. Drawn the rails and appears to have the tempo to take benefit. Ought to be outstanding from the outset. Market watch suggested. My Shiromi is one other debutante. This hanging virtually black-coloured filly by Expert was a simple winner of an Orange 1000m barrier trial 9 days in the past and is able to run a race. Can I Rock led and was crushed lower than a neck right here over this similar 900m distance second-up. Drawn two for Mitchell Bell — tick and tick.

BET STRATEGY: ENCHANTED PRINCESS each-way; Quinella 5,7; Field trifecta 5,7,eight.

RACE three (2.20pm)

Mark Newnham has a terrific strike-rate owing to the truth that he locations his string with army precision. Newnham has Sebring filly Scarlet Dream going to 1880m at solely her third race however she is by a sire who will get Derby winners and Melbourne Cup placegetters so the space ought to current no points. Crushed a nostril on debut then gained at Kembla by an enormous margin over a useful horse when coming from off velocity, so is definitely properly positioned on the journey. Britannicus is a full to Roman Son and a useful stablemate named Etheridge. Is 2 begins for a win and a second on the monitor/distance. Go nicely. Tempers Flare, Captain’s Legend and Lutreola are all gamers.

BET STRATEGY: SCARLET DREAM win; Exacta eight to beat 1.

RACE four (2.55pm)

Southern Romance is a lightly-raced and progressive filly owned and bred by Gerry Harvey. The Chris Waller-trained three-year-old was doing her best work late on debut when received a great distance again from the vast draw. Raced handier and was solely crushed Zero.2 lengths subsequent time, additionally in a 1200m maiden right here. Every part means that the step as much as 1400m will solely help. Eternal Love has positioned at 5 of her six begins. She held her personal at Wyong over 1350m and was as soon as crushed Zero.three lengths at Goulburn over this journey by the useful Subban. Fabricator is a Jason Coyle-trained galloper who can solely be improved from his rock strong first-up fourth right here.

BET STRATEGY: SOUTHERN ROMANCE win.

RACE 5 (three.35pm)

Talking of Jason Coyle, he saddles-up Belle Of Clonmel right here. The daughter of Magic Albert is liable to peak now third-up after a few average runs at Hakwesbury over 1000m and 1100m the place she appeared to lack the required ping over the shorter journeys. She gained two trials earlier than she kicked off the brand new marketing campaign so she is clearly going properly inside herself. Has each-way attraction if odds permit. Fortunate Louie is by far the best credentialed horse within the race taking into consideration she ran in a Wakeful and VRC Oaks final marketing campaign. Lots to love about her first-up putting and she or he’ll be arduous to carry out late. Amplified from the Snowden yard can enhance.

BET STRATEGY: BELLE OF CLONMEL each-way.

RACE 6 (four.11pm)

The aforementioned Mark Newnham has one other lightly-raced horse headed to Newcastle, this one goes by the identify of Confirmed Class. The Gooree home-bred is by Sensible Missile out of the G1 staying sort Older Than Time, who was runner-up in a Sydney Cup. Confirmed Class has solely had the 2 begins, ending fourth on debut then she improved to complete an in depth second subsequent time in a 1500m maiden. The mile fits. Borazon is a Chris Waller-trained gelding by fantastic miler All Too Arduous. Had a simple trial at residence on November 2 when not crushed far and shutting properly. Shen Gui is one other one of many All Too Exhausting offspring within the race. Match horse and the 1600m is ideal now.

BET STRATEGY: PROVEN CLASS win.

RACE 7 (four.47pm)

Kris Lees seems to carry the aces on this race with as many as 4 of the 9 runners. Any of them might win with out shocking however there was greater than sufficient in Chalmers’ first-up run to advertise him because the best of the quartet. The son of Mossman is one for one at this monitor and distance, and he additionally goes properly with a run beneath the belt. That run, was 5 lengths off Schubert in a Bm78 at Rosehill on November three. Plaisir is one other native who has compelling numbers, beginning with the truth that two of his three wins have come right here at residence. On prime of that, he’s 3s 1-2-Zero when second-up. Excessive Energy is a Lees-trained gelding by Excessive Chaparral and has gained two from three at Newcastle.

BET STRATEGY: CHALMERS win; Exacta 2 to beat eight; Field trifecta 2,5,eight.

RACE eight (5.30pm)

Rheingau will make his race debut for brand spanking new coach Joe Satisfaction having completed all of his earlier work sporting the Royal Blue colors of Godolphin. Loads of ex-Godolphin horses go on and win races after leaving residence so no worries there. The truth is, this son of Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom did sufficient in his Warwick Farm trial 9 days in the past to recommend that he might ship his coach his umpteenth ‘last race winner’! Bid‘N’Naked hasn’t put a hoof flawed for Kristen Buchanan with two wins and a second from her solely three runs. Races useful and put a margin on the others in simpler races forward of this. Oxford Angel has all the time proven expertise however wants to beat a large alley.

BET STRATEGY: RHEINGAU win.

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