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Preview and tips for Gunnedah

Preview and tips for Gunnedah

RACHAEL Murray is assured Normality can switch trial type to race day when the fantastically bred filly makes her debut within the Maiden Plate (1300m) at Gunnedah as we speak.

Normality is by Animal Kingdom, winner of the Kentucky Derby and Dubai World Cup, out of Synaesthesia, making her a half-sister to triple Group 1 winner Mentality.

Mentality was a three-time Group 1 winner of greater than $2 million prizemoney and a formidable “miler”, profitable the Randwick Guineas, George Principal Stakes and Champagne Stakes over the Randwick 1600m course.

RAY THOMAS’S BEST BETS

GUNNEDAH

BEST BET

Race 6, No. 1: Reward The Chaser

Ought to have the ability to lead comfortably and dictate phrases within the Summer time Cup. If that’s the case, he’s going to be very onerous to run down, although he’s a danger at 1600m.

NEXT BEST

Race four No. 7: Magic Charlee

Ran a blinder on debut, coming from close to final on the flip to complete an in depth third, crushed lower than a size over 1300m at Scone. If he didn’t strike hassle within the straight, he would have gained. Drawn broad at the moment however that ought to go well with as he’s more likely to settle again within the subject and want galloping room from the flip.

THE VALUE

Race 5, No. 5: We Can’t Be Crushed

This race seems a match between We Can’t Be Crushed and I’m Kate. I’m leaning to We Can’t Be Crushed as he’s higher suited at 1600m and favoured by the barrier draw.

QUADDIE

Race four: 7, 11. Race 5: 5, 7, 13. Race 6: 1, 2, three, four. Race 7: 1, 2, three, four.

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

Greg Ryan, the chief within the NSW jockeys’ premiership with 77 wins this season, has six good rides on the Gunnedah assembly — together with Squared (race 2), We Can’t Be Crushed (5) and Purple Liberty (seven).

TRAINER TO FOLLOW

Gavin Groth has a aggressive group entered for his house monitor assembly — Jazzee Nicc (race three), Deliver The Pleasure (six) and Pink Liberty (seven).

SCROLL DOWN FOR RAY’S INSIDE MAIL

*****

Murray rode Normality to win a 900m Scone barrier trial two weeks in the past and was stunned by the filly’s pure velocity.

Normality led all through to win her warmth by almost three lengths easing down, recording 52s flat for the 900m, together with an excellent 600m sectional of 32.94s.

“Earlier than the trial they informed me she may want a mile (a1600m) however she was very sharp,’’ Murray stated.

“I feel she will discover the entrance (at present) and be arduous to beat. I actually do like her.’’

Murray, who created racing historical past in 2016-17 when she turned the primary and nonetheless solely feminine jockey to experience at the least 100 winners on NSW racetracks in a season, is hoping to undertake comparable catch-me-if-you-can techniques on the aptly named Reward The Chaser within the GJC Summer time Cup (1600m).

Reward The Chaser, educated by Brett Cavanough, is a famous frontrunner and Murray may be capable of management the tempo to go well with on the favorite as a result of most of his rivals want to settle off velocity.

Reward The Chaser is a question at 1600m, notably having to shoulder 60.5kg, so Murray will probably be hoping to attempt to flip this race right into a dash house.

“Reward The Chaser ought to go to the entrance early and hopefully get a gentle lead,’’ Murray stated.

“He has a heavy weight however I feel he’s one of the best horse within the race and ‘Cav’ does a very good job together with his horses.’’

Murray was additionally very bullish concerning the probabilities of one other Cavanough-trained starter, Pervenche, within the Maiden Handicap (1000m).

Pervenche has solely had the one begin at Muswellbrook final July when she completed nicely again in a maiden and resumes as we speak with out having an official barrier trial.

However Murray rode Pervenche trackwork at Scone final week and was impressed with the three-year-old filly.

“Pervenche is as very nice filly and I feel she is my greatest probability at Gunnedah,’’ Murray stated.

“She gave me an excellent really feel in her work and all going properly she will run a superb race.’’

Murray’s different mount Intelligent Gent is rated solely a $51 probability for the Gunnedah nearer, the Class three Handicap (1300m).

Intelligent Gent has gained solely twice in 31 makes an attempt and been winless for two years however he’s over the chances at present on the proof of his aggressive efforts at Taree and Port Macquarie in current weeks.

****

INSIDE MAIL WITH RAY THOMAS

RACE 1

Sensible Moove, a gray filly by Sensible Missile, makes her debut off a tidy Newcastle barrier trial win late final month. She was ridden out to win the warmth however it was a strong effort and stands her in good stead for this race. Drawn the rails and must be on velocity. Magic Richard drained within the run residence at Tamworth however coming again to 1000m ought to go well with. Star Categorical and Royal Swagger are each-way possibilities.

Guess: Sensible Moove every means.

RACE 2

Enigami drew an outdoor barrier, was by no means on the monitor and pressured very broad on the flip however she nonetheless ran gamely for an in depth third in an identical class of race at Taree over 1000m final begin. Drawn favourably at the moment, ought to settle nearer and might be within the end. Sugar Lane has had successive Gilgandra 1280m wins however shouldn’t be as properly suited coming again in journey immediately. Squared has had two runs again from a spell and her type improves the deeper she goes right into a marketing campaign. Mon Petite Fille drained late when final of 9 in a robust Scone barrier trial two weeks in the past. Resuming in appropriate race and can dash nicely recent.

Guess: Enigami to win; field trifecta 1, 2, three, four.

RACE three

Redirect ran an excellent fifth first-up at Gilgandra when he wasn’t suited by the tight, turning monitor and brief run residence. Stays at 1000m right now, which is a slight concern, however drawn gate two and can settle nearer to the lead. Will end off strongly. Shot At The Reward is resuming however is a winner over this course and journey and has sprinted nicely recent earlier than. Jazzee Nicc indicated he was nearing prime type when narrowly crushed at Inverell second-up, whereas The Mont will discover this simpler than the Scone class three he ran in when unplaced final begin.

Guess: Redirect every means.

RACE four

Intriguing conflict between two promising, well-bred three-year-olds, Magic Charlee and Normality. I’m leaning to Magic Charlee, a half-brother to Nation Championships winner Artlee, who had no luck on debut when he charged house to complete third, lower than a size from the winner. The tight Gunnedah monitor isn’t ideally suited but when he has any luck in operating can be onerous to carry out. Normality is a half-sister to triple Group 1 winner Mentality who confirmed good velocity to win her Scone trial with ease two weeks in the past. Will give Magic Charlee one thing to chase. Kennywyn and Pleasure Bomb gained’t be distant.

Guess: Magic Charlee to win; quinella 7, 11.

RACE 5

We Can’t Be Crushed got here again in distance and took some time to wind up earlier than storming house to only miss at Dubbo over 1310m. A placegetter in 4 of his six begins and will recognize getting again out to 1600m at the moment. Able to win. I’m Kate was positioned on debut at Hawkesbury then had no luck at Gosford. Somewhat awkwardly drawn however on this race. Artefiori has been disappointing in two runs again however is fitter. Probability Of Rain is a minor place probability.

Guess: We Can’t Be Crushed to win; watch betting strikes for I’m Kate.

RACE 6

Reward The Chaser likes to steer and dominate his races. Appears more likely to get that chance right here as he’s the one go-forward horse. Led all through to win at Dubbo 4 begins again and his three runs since have been sound, together with his eighth behind the useful La Scopa in a TAB Freeway at Randwick. The question is his capacity to expire a robust 1600m. George Two completed his race off powerfully for a deserved win at Bathurst and is all the time an opportunity on this grade. St Luke and Cricklewood have claims.

Guess: Reward The Chaser to win.

RACE 7

Thermosa is storming by means of the grades, profitable three of his 4 begins in a powerful debut preparation. Has good pure velocity and can benefit from his perfect barrier. Nevertheless, he’s on trial on the 1300m and is creeping up within the weights. Double Gaze ran on with out threatening when a first-up fifth over 1100m at Armidale and is best suited at this journey. Vega De Lago has claims however should overcome a large barrier, and Pink Liberty is fitter for two runs again from a spell.

Guess: Field trifecta 1, 2, three, four.

****

GEORGE Two’s confirmed capability on the distance and his affinity with jockey Ashley Morgan have him poised to take out the GJC Summer time Cup (1600m) at Gunnedah right now.

Topweight Reward The Chaser, Cricklewood, St Luke, Celtic Tiger and Convey The Pleasure are among the many foremost possibilities in a robust Cup area however George Two’s coach, Gayna Williams, is assured her in-form gelding might be very aggressive.

Williams even withdrew George Two from a neater race at Wellington on Sunday to focus on the Summer time Cup.

“Wellington is usually a tough monitor and I didn’t assume it will go well with George Two as a lot as Gunnedah,’’ Williams stated.

“This can be a harder race however he’s racing persistently and he goes nicely for Ashley, too.’’

Morgan has ridden George Two at his previous two begins for an in depth second at Dubbo earlier than a powerful win at Bathurst three weeks in the past.

George Two excels at 1600m and has opened at $three.70 second favouritism in early TAB Fastened Odds betting behind Reward The Chaser at $2.70.

Williams is sending a three-horse group on the three-hour float journey from Mudgee to Gunnedah, and every of her secure runners has been positioned to benefit.

One of many hottest favourites on the Gunnedah program is the Williams-trained We Can’t Be Crushed, who’s rated at $1.90 for the Maiden Plate (1600m).

We Can’t Be Crushed has been positioned in 4 of his six begins, together with his eye-catching effort when a fast-finishing last-start second behind Prepared’s Queen at Dubbo over 1310m.

“We needed to drop him again to 1300m final begin as I couldn’t discover a race to go well with and we have to maintain him ticking over,’’ Williams stated.

“The mile (1600m) is best for him, he’ll respect this journey and in all probability even additional.’’

Williams is cautious of the Kris Lees-trained I’m Kate, who could be over the chances at $four.20 for her conflict with We Can’t Be Crushed.

“It isn’t straightforward to win anyplace, they’re all robust opponents, however Kris’s horse does look onerous to beat,’’ Williams stated of I’m Kate, who was a provincial placegetter on debut earlier than a really unfortunate eighth at Gosford.

Redirect is the primary of the Williams secure runners to sport silks immediately when he contests the Benchmark 58 Handicap (1000m).

The worth assessors have Redirect because the $three.60 second favorite behind Jazzee Nicc ($three) on the power of the Williams’ sprinter’s wonderful comeback effort when fifth behind Star Of Zizou over 1000m at Gilgandra on New Yr’s Day.

“Redirect could be a bit naughty at occasions, he has a behavior of being slowly away, and I feel it value him the race first-up as a result of he gave them an excessive amount of begin,’’ Williams stated.

“The Gunnedah race continues to be solely 1000m however the monitor will probably be higher for him.

“This horse has had loads of points however this marketing campaign he’s going one of the best he has ever been going.’’

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