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Rosehill betting, odds, market movers, bookies’ tips

Rosehill betting, odds, market movers, bookies’ tips

Melbourne Cup and Everest-winning jockey Kerrin McEvoy will purpose to go back-to-back within the Nation Basic at Rosehill Gardens — and punters are in his nook with Rapture Miss.

The champion hoop pulled off one of many rides of final season when piloting the Matthew Dunn-trained Miss Dubois house within the 2017 Nation Basic and is given a main alternative for a repeat aboard the race favorite Rapture Miss ($5).

Such is McEvoy’s loyal following that three of his eight rides are favorite for his or her respective races. The shortest priced of the trio is the thrilling Cradle Mountain ($2.70), who scored a powerful first-up win three weeks in the past.

Saturday would be the first time the Clare Cunningham-trained sprinter is tried over 1300m within the ATC Tipping Competitors Handicap.

McEvoy has three rides for Snowden Racing starting within the Golden Present (1100m), the place he dons the China Horse Membership colors on Jonah.

The Hinchinbrook colt misplaced no admirers on debut when chasing house Gary Portelli’s unbeaten Golden Slipper co-favourite Time To Reign.

Afterward, McEvoy will reunite with Group Redzel when he steers one other of the Ward brothers’ Snitzel sons, Onslaught, who has trialled properly of late.

McEvoy’s ultimate journey for the daddy and son coaching duo is Napoleon Solo, whose mild weight will go a way in compensating for taking over the older horses.

McEvoy’s remaining three rides are all for Chris Waller specifically Our Malambo, Merovee and stayer Ombudsman.

TAB BIG BETS

Race 1: Cardiff $2.90-$Three ($1,000 e/w at $Three.10/$1.70, $500 at $Three.10, $1,000 at $Three TWICE, $700 at $Three, $500 at $Three TWICE, $400 at $Three MULTIPLE TIMES, $300 at $Three), Spaceboy $Three.90-$Three.10 ($5,000 at $Three.90, $1,000 at $Three.90, $500 at $Three.50, $400 at $Three.50, $250 e/w at $Three.50/$1.85 TWICE, $200 at $Three.50, $250 at $Three.30, $200 at $Three.30 MULTIPLE TIMES, $250 at $Three.10), Tassort $Three.90-$Three.50.

Race 2: Potent Drive $7-$5-$5.50, Delicate Gray $26-$19.

Race Three: Drawback Solver $13-$eight, Hussterical $13-$10.

Race Four: Merovee $17-$14, Fierce Impression $7-$6.

Race 5: Sir Bacchus $26-$21, Cradle Mountain $2.50-$2.30-$2.10 ($800 at $2.50, $500 at $2.40, $250 at $2.40, $200 at $2.40 TWICE, $700 at $2.30, $450 at $2.30, $500 at $2.10), Dyslexic $5-$5.50 ($1,000 at $5.50, $200 at $5.50).

Race 6: Island Missile $13-$eight.50-$9 ($500 at $13, $200 e/w at $11//$Three.50, $500 at $eight.50), Lisdoonvarna $13-$9-$9.50 ($200 at $12, $300 at $9.50, $2,000 x $1,000 e/w at $9/$Three, $200 at $9), Deity $5-$Four.20.

Race 7: Allzin $26-$15-$13, Rapture Miss $7-$5.50-$5.

Race eight: Strome $17-$11-$eight.50, Napoleon Solo $13-$6.50-$5 ($300 e/w at $13/$Four, $200 at $eight.50, $750 x $250 e/w at $7.50/$2.70, $380 at $7).

Race 9: Organza $Four.80-$Four.20-$Four ($400 at $Four.80, $500 at $Four.40, $230 at $Four.40), Campari $Three.90-$Four-$Three.70-$2.60 ($330 at $Four, $1,200 at $Three.70, $400 at $Three.70, $250 at $Three.70, $400 at $Three.40, $455 at $Three.20, $500 at $Three).

THE BEST BARRIERS

The perfect barrier at Rosehill Gardens for the final three years so as of most wins.

1100m: 1,Four,Three,5

1200m: Four,1,2,Three

1300m: 5,6,Four,2

1500m: Four,2,1,Three

1800m: 5,1,Three,2

2000m: Four,Three,1,5

EARLY QUADDIE

Race 2: 1,2,11,2

Race Three: 6,7

Race Four: 2,Three,7,9,12,13

Race 5: 1,9

Advised guess: $20

Guess proportion: 20.83

QUADDIE

Race 6: Four,eight,11,12

Race 7: 9,16,17

Race eight: 1,2,14

Race 9: 2,Four,7

Instructed guess: $20

Guess proportion: 18.51

PRICE CHECK

Le Juge (race 4) is educated by Chris Waller and provided that alone, there isn’t a means he ought to go round at $51. The Irish-bred import has completed seventh at each of his 1500m runs this marketing campaign however he will get to 1800m with 52kg on his again, taking into consideration that each of his wins in France have been over 1888m at Deauville and Chantilly.

TRIAL POINTERS

Cardiff (race one) was a $600,000 Easter Yearling buy. A son of Snitzel out of stakes-winning Brisbane mare Cariad, Cardiff has gained each trials by margins of two.Three-lengths and three.Three-lengths. Each occasions, the Gerald Ryan-trained chestnut flew the gates and was in entrance virtually inside a stride, and he stayed there all through. In his most up-to-date warmth, he was too nippy for his important rival in Saturday’s Golden Present, Tassort, who’s a half brother to Astern and Alizee, each of them Group 1 winners. Drawn out however Cardiff has electrifying tempo.

Our Belisa (race 5) is a John Thompson-trained mare who has undergone a again process since her final begin. Has been wound-up for a daring return with a few trials, one win, the opposite a much more leisurely however nonetheless spectacular hitout at Canterbury behind velocity machine Ball of Muscle in a Canterbury warmth over 900m. Our Belisa might be ridden by Corey Brown and will get into this race with 53.5kg. Drawn barrier two so anticipate her to be outstanding from the outset.

WORK WHISPERS

So You Win (race 9) is a son of twin Cox Plate winner So You Assume and wears the identical silks as four-time Cox Plate winner Winx. So You Win was onerous to overlook when he flashed up late to complete 1.Three-lengths behind Turnberry. Unbeaten second-up and appeared the half when working over 1000m on Tuesday in 1:9.80s with a last 400m in 24.80s. Has robust claims.

Cradle Mountain (race 5) gained three on finish final marketing campaign, one in 1:eight.15s for 1200m at Randwick, then was pressured out by damage quickly after his Scone standalone drama. The Clare Cunningham-trained son of Tasmania’s greatest stallion, West Quest, made a triumphant return to racing at Rosehill three weeks again, breaking 1:10s in his 1200m win. Cradle Mountain has to go 1300m for the primary time however he has drawn 5 for Kerrin McEvoy. Cradle Mountain had a simple gallop at Warwick Farm final Saturday timed in 56.54s for the 800m with a breezy final 400m in 27.16s.

BEST BET

Demerara (race three) is a Godolphin mare who has a superb recent report of three first-up wins. Her solely blemish was at her first-up run final marketing campaign in Adelaide when one thing was clearly amiss given she went straight to the paddock. James Cummings would have been delighted together with her current trial and she or he seems to be able to convey her greatest to Rosehill.

NEXT BEST

Sir Bacchus (race 5 ) is a gray gelding from the Chris Waller camp who has gained seven races, 4 of them have been at Rosehill Gardens. The son of Sebring has gained twice when recent and he positive appeared the half when hitting the road late to complete 1.Four-lengths from the winner in a current 900m warmth at Canterbury. Simply wants a superb tempo to supply that bug end that he has.

THE JUDGMENT

ROSEHILL GARDENS

R7: THE COUNTRY CLASSIC (2000m)

Mark Schmetzer (coach) Love None: “Obviously you can’t be too confident going to town in a race like this but I am confident with where she is at for this race. I don’t think she could be any better.’’

Sally Snow (TAB): “With strong winds in Sydney ensuring we will be racing on a firm track, I can see why TAB punters have come for Allzin ($26 into $13), who won in a photo finish last start at Newcastle. The step back up to 2000m won’t be a problem and it should be ready to peak here fourth-up. The in-form Sam Weatherly should be able to find a handy spot just off the pace and with a well timed run, should be right in the finish.’’

Glenn Munsie (TAB): “Big field with a number of them either stepping to 2000m or appearing on a metropolitan Saturday for the first time. Rapture Miss has the upside required to be hard to beat here in an open race. Gives the impression 2000m will suit and should be first half in the run.’’

Grant Palmer (bookie): “I thought Allzin looked value at the double-figure odds in what shapes as a tough race. He was luckless in the Lismore Cup but atoned nicely at Newcastle last start and could do the same again here.’’

Blake Johnston (bookie): “Most Exalted looks to be crying out for 2000m. He has the best last 600m of the race last start and will prove hard to beat.’’

Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports radio): “Charge of the light brigade here, should be good speed, Rapture Miss and Most Exalted are drawn best to get good runs. Favouring Rapture Miss from barrier 8, was a narrow second last start and now ready to pounce. ‘’

Verdict: ALLZIN

R8: ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HCP (1500m)

Paul Snowden (trainer) Napoleon Solo: “We weren’t too impressed about having to race against the older horses which we were forced to after two races were merged but out hands were tied there.’’

Sally Snow (TAB): “Not a lot of pace in this race and I think there is some value to be had in Budderoo Knight. Looks to get the perfect run up near the lead and put in a career bets run in a similar race last time in. Definitely worth an each way bet.’’

Glenn Munsie (TAB): “Like the value around Vaucluse Bay first-up here. No runner in this race has the Saturday record that this fellow does and tends to run his best races here at Rosehill. First-up last campaign beaten a wart at Warwick Farm over 1600m before successive placings in Saturday grade.’’

Grant Palmer (bookie): “Laussel ran on well behind Campari when she was first-up since July and she should strip fitter for that. Brenton Avdulla goes aboard and she looks one of the better each-way bets on the card.’’

Blake Johnston (bookie): “Strome charged home last start over 1100m. The extra distance is ideal now and she can win.”

Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports activities radio): “Have Strome on top here, was OK last start, is jumping up in distance, but that should suit after a really impressive trial previous to that and is great odds.”

Verdict: STROME

R9: ATC #THERACES HANDICAP (1500m)

Clare Cunningham (coach) Sir Barb: “Sir Barb has improved off his first-up run and he’s back in grade, which he really needs. He’s won midweek races and it would be a really good effort to win a Saturday race but he’s got a good gate and I can see him running well.”

Sally Snow (TAB): “This is an open race with plenty of chances made even harder by the lack of speed. The favourite in Campari has been well backed with TAB ($4 into $2.60), but I think it has reached it’s bottom quote in pre-post betting. Organza did a good job first-up, running on OK and I can see it settling closer here from gate three and looks to be clear top pick in a difficult race to end the program.’’

Glenn Munsie (TAB): “Happy to give Reflectivity the nod here despite a wide alley. The Turnberry race looks to be the right race to come out of here rather than the midweek win of Campari. A wide barrier is always a concern but from this 1500m start you can take as long as you like to work over with leaders.’’

Grant Palmer (bookie): “Campari has raced well since coming across from New Zealand and she looks a promising type. I think she can go on with it here. Biggest danger looks to be Organza who will improve second up.’’

Blake Johnston (bookie): “Organza looks the one to beat after her unlucky third first-up. Extra distance is ideal now and she will prove hard to beat.”

Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports activities radio): “Was eager on Reflectivity however barrier 15 worries me, now favouring Organza who ought to get the run of the race, was good first-up and has an incredible second-up report. ‘’

Verdict: ORGANZA

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